U.S. short-term interest rate futures fell after the Federal Reserve cut rates as traders bet on further rate cuts.
Less than ten days before the Federal Reserve's September interest rate meeting, current market traders are betting that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in September with a high probability, and the probability of rate cuts in October will increase simultaneously. According to CME "Fed Watch" data, the probability that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates in September is 0, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 90%. This probability is reported in Polymarket 87%. ...
Traders are betting that the Federal Reserve will wait until June to start cutting interest rates.
Traders are betting that the Federal Reserve will wait until June to start cutting interest rates.
Futures markets are betting the Fed won t cut rates at its policy meeting next week, but if fears of a trade war-induced recession come true, the Fed could initiate a series of rapid rate cuts in June. Last weekend, US President Donald Trump made a speech on the economy.
Traders are betting that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates quickly in the event of an economic downturn. More and more people in the futures market are expecting consecutive rate cuts in June, July and October. Federal Reserve officials face the dilemma of rising inflation and a weakening economy. Click to view...